Warren County's Unemployment Below National Rate

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The national unemployment rate has changed a lot this year.  When shut-down orders were put in place because of the COVID-19 pandemic, the national unemployment rate did rise to nearly 15 percent in April.  It was down to 8.4 percent last month.  

It seems like the people may be getting back to work in Warren County more quickly than in other parts of the nation.  In July, the national unemployment rate was 10.2 percent, while the unemployment rate for Warren County had fallen to seven percent.  Although it may have felt bad, the unemployment rate wasn't as high during the stay-at-home orders as it was in other parts of the state or the country.  While the national unemployment rate was 14.7 percent in April, the state's unemployment level in April was 17.3 percent.  For Warren County, the unemployment rate was at 13.2 percent in April. 

In May, businesses were allowed to reopen.  Between May and July, Warren County's unemployment rate was over two percent lower than the national unemployment rate.

During the First Presidential Debate, Former Vice President Joe Biden criticized President Donald Trump about unemployment numbers, even going as far as to say that Trump would be the first president to leave office with fewer jobs than when he took office.  That statement can be viewed as misleading and false.

Biden's statement is misleading because of the COVID-19 pandemic.  The stay-at-home order adversely impacted the unemployment rate.  Prior to the stay-at-home order, the national unemployment rate was 3.5 percent in February compared to 4.7 percent in January 2017, the month in which Trump was inaugurated.  Warren County's unemployment rate in January 2017 was 4.9 percent and it was 3.7 percent in February 2020.  

Biden's statement is false because the unemployment rate was higher when President George W. Bush left office than the month he was inaugurated.  The national unemployment rate was 4.2 percent in January 2001 and it was 7.8 percent in January 2009.  The unemployment rate in Warren County in January 2001 was four percent and it was 7.9 percent in January 2009.

Other than 2020, Warren County's highest unemployment came in 2010 when President Barack Obama was in office.  The lowest in the county came in 1999 when President Bill Clinton was in office.

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